Nowadays we do not have good synoptic patterns that would favor occurrence of severe weather over Europe. However, our predictions expect that good overlap of instability and shear may occur in western Europe on Friday and Saturday. These forecasts are quite distant, but general setup is likely to appear. Below, some pictures from Testbed activities:
Tomas working with a participants in a “Day1 group”.
And here are the forecasts for Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday: