Today we expect new participants of the second week of ESSL Testbed2015 from Austria, Romania, Germany, Portugal, Slovakia, Netherlands and Czech Republic. We start our introductory session at 12 UTC. In this week participants will also work in two groups with Tomas Pucik and Mateusz Taszarek. In addition, also Christoph Gatzen from ESTOFEX will support forecasting. Before we began new week, let’s take a look at the forecasts verification from the last days of the 1st week.

On friday, one of the group managed to predict tornado that occurred in Bavaria. They included quite detailed forecast description:

“A level 1 was issued for S Germany, W Czech Republic and parts of Poland mainly for large hail, severe wind gusts and in lesser extent for tornado (especially in E Bavaria and W parts of Czech Republic).

(…) Because LLS will locally exceed 10 m/s it cannot be ruled out that some isolated tornado event is possible. We pedict that convective cells will remain isolated, which somehow increases probability for tornado.(…)”

Tornado occurred near Freystadt around 16 UTC.